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India, China to Drive Cotton Trade

ICAC: India and China to Drive Global Cotton Trade GrowthAccording to the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC), strong import demand from India and China could provide fresh momentum to global cotton trade in the 2026/27 season. The rising purchasing activity from both nations is emerging as a key force strengthening trade dynamics in the international market.The report indicates that India has become one of the most significant drivers of global cotton demand. Cotton lint imports for the country are projected to reach approximately 1 million tonnes in the 2025/26 season—a 42% increase compared to the previous season—marking the highest import level in India's history.Policy measures, such as temporary cuts in import duties and exemptions on Extra-Long Staple (ELS) cotton, have played a pivotal role in this surge. These steps have enhanced the availability of imported fiber and supported demand from the domestic spinning and textile industries.A significant rebound in China's cotton imports is also anticipated. After hitting an eight-year low last season, China's cotton lint imports are projected to rise by approximately 42% in 2025/26.The ICAC forecasts that China will reclaim its position as the world's largest cotton importer in the 2026/27 season, accounting for roughly 19% of global cotton imports. Additional import quotas, strong domestic market prices, and sustained demand from textile mills are cited as the primary drivers of this growth.Brazil leads the list of China's key suppliers. Currently, Brazil accounts for about 52% of China's total cotton imports, establishing itself as a major supplier in the world's most significant cotton trade corridor. Meanwhile, Australia is strengthening its position as China's second-largest supplier. Meanwhile, ongoing shifts in US-China trade relations are influencing global competition and the flow of cotton trade.Regarding production and consumption, global cotton production for the 2025/26 season is projected at 26.5 million tonnes, a 3% increase over the previous year. Global consumption is expected to reach 25.3 million tonnes, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.6%.For the 2026/27 season, global cotton production is forecast to decline by 2% to 25.9 million tonnes, while consumption could rise by approximately 1% to reach 25.5 million tonnes. The ICAC believes that, driven by strong demand, India and China will play a pivotal role in shaping the direction of global cotton trade in the coming years.read more :- Indian Cotton Sector Outlook

Indian Cotton Sector Outlook

A Look at the Indian Cotton SectorDemand for high-quality imported cotton is steadily rising in India. Although the country's total cotton production suffices for domestic consumption, the need for premium-quality fiber—required for manufacturing fine-count yarn, home textiles, and export-oriented products—is driving imports. Currently, India imports approximately 9% of its total cotton consumption, whereas China’s import dependency stands at 16–17%. This trend is creating opportunities in the Indian market for major exporting nations like the US, Brazil, and Australia.Spinning mills such as Tamil Nadu’s Jayalakshmi Textiles utilize imported cotton for about 20% of their requirements. According to the company, US cotton—characterized by lower trash content and superior quality—is ideal for fine-count spinning, provided it is available at a competitive price.Recent months have seen pressure on domestic prices and availability due to a rise in global textile demand and increased procurement of Indian cotton yarn by China. Market trends going forward will largely depend on the progress of the monsoon. While rainfall was below normal during the initial phase, experts believe the impact on cotton will be limited compared to water-intensive crops like rice and sugarcane. If farmers increase the acreage under cotton—a crop requiring less water—an improvement in production is possible.Commodity analysts estimate that India's cotton production could exceed 320 lakh bales in the 2026–27 season, provided rainfall is favorable in key producing states like Karnataka and Maharashtra. Additionally, the prospect of an India-US trade agreement is viewed positively by the industry. Since cotton is not a food crop and the majority of India's production is GMO-based, its inclusion in a trade agreement is considered relatively straightforward. The Indian spinning industry is also advocating for duty-free cotton imports to enhance competitiveness. Given the rising demand for quality, potential trade agreements, and India's strong position in the global textile market, the Indian cotton sector could offer significant opportunities for growth and investment in the coming years.read more :- Trade Deals Lift Textile Stocks

Trade Deals Lift Textile Stocks

Trade Deals Boost Indian Textile Stocks; Exports Expected to RiseIndia's textile sector is witnessing a strong rally this year, driven primarily by the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the UK set to take effect this month, negotiations with the European Union (EU) reaching the final stage, and a potential trade deal with the US. These agreements are expected to boost Indian textile exports and enhance competitiveness in the global market.Indian companies supplying products such as T-shirts, bed linen, and towels to global retailers like Walmart and Tesco are among the top performers in the stock market. An equal-weight index of eight major textile exporters tracked by Bloomberg has recorded a gain of over 30% this year, contrasting with an approximately 8% decline in the NSE Nifty 50 index during the same period.Pawan Bharadia, Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer at Equitry Capital Advisors, believes there is a significant opportunity for Indian textile companies to expand their global market share. He anticipates a re-rating of the sector's valuation due to improved tariff structures and new export avenues. Shares of SP Apparels, a company held in his portfolio, have surged nearly 60% this year.Experts suggest that India could also benefit from the global strategy to reduce sourcing reliance on China and certain other Asian nations. Driven by this outlook, major institutional investors like SBI Funds Management and Quant Mutual Fund have increased their stakes in several textile companies in recent months.Shares of Arvind Limited have risen by approximately 74% this year, while Indo Count Industries has seen a gain of around 54%. Analysts at Motilal Oswal believe that major Indian textile exporters can expand their market share in the coming years by capitalizing on better order visibility and rising demand from global brands. Although India's share in global textile trade currently stands at around 4%, the government aims to grow the industry to $350 billion by 2030. Analysts believe that achieving this goal will depend on increasing production capacity, attracting new investments, and ensuring a steady rise in export orders.read more :- The rupee closed flat at 95.21 against the US dollar.

Rain Boosts Kharif Sowing in Akola

Maharashtra: Good rainfall accelerates Kharif sowing; planting completed on 1.20 lakh hectares; cotton acreage likely to increaseGood rainfall in early July has accelerated Kharif season sowing in Maharashtra's Akola district. According to the Agriculture Department, sowing has been completed on approximately 120,000 hectares out of the district's total cultivable area of 432,010 hectares. Last year, Kharif crops were sown across a total area of 431,884 hectares in the district.This year, farmers are showing a strong preference for cotton cultivation. Agriculture officials state that the optimal window for sowing Moong (green gram) and Urad (black gram) has passed; sowing these crops now carries the risk of reduced yields or crop failure. Consequently, most farmers have prioritized cotton cultivation. Approximately 30 percent of the cotton sowing in the district is already complete, and a significant increase in total cotton acreage is anticipated this year.Rainfall data for the district shows that Telhara Taluka recorded the highest rainfall at 191.7 mm. This was followed by Akot (161.3 mm), Patur (141.9 mm), Murtijapur (132.9 mm), Barshitakli (124.9 mm), Balapur (111.9 mm), and Akola Taluka (95 mm). The district's average rainfall has been recorded at 132.2 mm.The Agriculture Department has advised farmers to avoid sowing Moong and Urad now, as the favorable period for these crops has elapsed. The department notes that sowing at this stage offers a very low probability of achieving expected yields. Particularly in the Telhara and Patur regions, delays in initial rainfall and sowing have forced many farmers to alter their original cropping plans and switch to cotton cultivation. Although sowing operations across the district are progressing rapidly, the process has been hampered in parts of Akot, Telhara, and Patur talukas due to continuous heavy rainfall. Sowing work has currently stalled in several locations within the low-lying areas of Patur due to waterlogging and excessive soil moisture.read more :- Cotton Prices Jump Above MSP

Cotton Prices Jump Above MSP

Cotton Market: Cotton prices rise by 5.24% in a week; farmers receiving rates above MSPThe country's cotton market is witnessing renewed strength. Prices have surged significantly due to a continuous decline in cotton arrivals at the mandis (wholesale markets). During the week ending June 28, the average market price of cotton in the country rose to ₹8,902 per quintal, marking a 5.24% increase compared to the previous week. This rally, occurring just before the start of the new cotton season, is considered welcome news for cotton-growing farmers.According to market experts, the primary reason for the price hike is the sharp drop in cotton arrivals at the mandis. Total cotton arrivals across the country's Agricultural Produce Market Committees (APMCs) were 23.54% lower than the previous week. The impact was most pronounced in Maharashtra, where a 54.75% decline in arrivals was recorded. Limited stocks intensified buying competition among traders, thereby strengthening market prices.The Central Government had set the Minimum Support Price (MSP) for medium-staple cotton at ₹7,410 per quintal for the 2025-26 season, while raising it to ₹8,267 per quintal for the 2026-27 season. Currently, the average price in the open market exceeds even the new MSP. Consequently, farmers are securing better returns by selling in the open market rather than at government procurement centers.Among key markets, the highest average price was recorded in Amravati at ₹8,955 per quintal. Additionally, average prices stood at ₹8,902 in Rajkot, ₹8,304 in Parbhani, and ₹8,200 per quintal in Buldhana.In the coming days, the trend of cotton prices will depend on sowing for the new season, the progress of the monsoon, domestic demand, and global market conditions. However, prices are likely to remain supported as long as stocks from the previous season remain limited. Therefore, farmers who still hold cotton stocks can decide when to sell by keeping a close watch on market trends.read more :- The rupee strengthened by 18 paise to open at 95.21 per dollar.

Cotton Sowing Lags in Key States

Slow Sowing Pace in Key Cotton-Producing States; Acreage Lower Than Last YearCotton sowing in India's three largest cotton-producing states—Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Telangana—has remained below last year's levels, indicating a sluggish start to the 2026-27 Kharif season. According to the latest data released by the respective state agriculture departments, sowing across all three states has lagged compared to the same period last year, with Maharashtra witnessing the sharpest decline.In Maharashtra, direct cotton sowing has dropped to 7.27 lakh hectares from 25.57 lakh hectares recorded during the same period last year. The state has registered the most significant reduction in sowing among the three major cotton-producing states, reflecting a substantial delay in planting activity.Gujarat has also recorded a significant decline in cotton acreage (cultivation area). Sowing has fallen from 13.99 lakh hectares last year to 6.84 lakh hectares this season, primarily due to slow planting in the Saurashtra region. However, comparatively better progress has been observed in certain districts of North and Central Gujarat.Among the three states, Telangana has recorded the smallest year-on-year decline. Cotton sowing stands at 26.83 lakh acres, compared to 30.69 lakh acres during the same period last year. Increased sowing in districts such as Nalgonda, Sangareddy, and Rangareddy has partially offset the decline seen in other cotton-growing areas.Market experts attribute the current sluggishness in sowing primarily to delayed and uneven monsoon rainfall across key cotton-producing regions. The progress of the southwest monsoon during July will be crucial, as timely rainfall could accelerate sowing operations and influence the final cotton acreage for the 2026-27 season.read more :- The rupee fell by 47 paise against the US dollar to close at 95.39.

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