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Trump tariffs blocked: What the US court ruling means for Indian market and global trade

US Court Blocks Trump Tariffs: Impact on Indian Market & Global TradeIn a landmark verdict, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that President Donald Trump exceeded his authority by invoking emergency powers to impose sweeping tariffs and halted most of Trump's tariffs from taking effect.The decision not only blocks the so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs in their tracks, but also sets the stage for broader legal challenges to executive-led trade actions. Motilal Oswal Financial Services outlines why this judgment could reshape global trade dynamics, and what it could mean for India.Legal brake on tariffs could ease U.S.-India trade talks“A pullback in U.S. tariff aggression creates space for India to strengthen trade positioning,” said Motilal Oswal. With Trump’s 26% reciprocal tariff threat now under legal cloud, India may gain leverage in its ongoing trade negotiations with Washington, especially as it offers deep tariff cuts on non-sensitive goods.Indian exporters may benefit as supply chains de-risk from ChinaMotilal Oswal noted that exporters in sectors like pharma and textiles could benefit if the ruling weakens the U.S.'s reliance on China-centric trade strategies. “Exporters in pharma, textiles, may benefit if global supply chains de-risk from China,” the brokerage said, pointing to India as a natural beneficiary of any diversification shift.Markets cheer legal clarity, Indian equities open higherThe decision triggered a positive sentiment wave in equities. “Markets may not react sharply as the original tariffs’ economic impact was limited,” Motilal Oswal said, “but this sets a big precedent for future administrations.” On Thursday, the Nifty 50 rose 0.29% while the Sensex climbed 0.34%, reflecting early optimism.Court ruling triggers repricing in safe-haven assetsThe risk-on mood hit safe-haven assets. Gold fell 0.7% to its lowest in over a week, while the U.S. dollar strengthened. According to Motilal Oswal, “Emergency powers are now under tighter judicial scrutiny,” leading investors to recalibrate expectations on trade-linked uncertainty and favour risk assets.Tariff agility curbed for future administrationsMotilal Oswal highlighted that the U.S. court's verdict “sets a precedent that may reduce future tariff agility — even in genuine crises.” With the court rejecting the use of a decades-old law to justify economic penalties, executive freedom over trade has now come under structural limits, adding new layers to trade policymaking.Legal uncertainty could shift the U.S.-China trade equationThe judgment introduces a new legal dimension to U.S.-China trade tensions. “U.S.-China trade tensions could enter a new phase of legal uncertainty,” Motilal Oswal observed, implying that geopolitical trade decisions may face more institutional checks, opening indirect windows of opportunity for competitors like India.read more :-Indian Rupee higher 03 Paisa, Ends at 85.50 per Dollar

Area under cotton cultivation up by 15% in Punjab, but long-term decline continues

Cotton Cultivation Grows in Punjab, Decline PersistsCotton cultivation in Punjab has registered a 15 per cent increase this year compared to 2024, offering a ray of hope for the state’s struggling cotton belt.However, the overall trend remains downward when viewed against the last five years, with the area under cotton cultivation continuing to shrink from its historical highs.The figure is likely to improve further as the data of the area under cotton sowing is to be collected till May 31.According to official data, the cotton-growing districts of Fazilka, Bathinda, Mansa, and Muktsar have so far covered 1.13 lakh hectares out of the targeted 1.29 lakh hectares, falling short of the target by 14.6 per cent.“The improvement is visible, though minor. Cotton sowing is almost complete, and final data will be available in early June,” said Jagdish Singh, Chief Agriculture Officer, Bathinda. “Based on the sale of seeds, we are expecting a further increase in the area under cotton by the end of May.”Rajinder Kumar, Chief Agriculture Officer, Fazilka, attributed the partial increase to better awareness and slight recovery of farmer confidence, though a double breach in the Punjawa Minor Canal affected irrigation and sowing timelines in parts of the district.Still far from past gloryDespite this year’s gain, the long-term decline in cotton acreage is stark.In 2019, cotton was sown on 3.35 lakh hectares.The numbers dropped to 2.5–2.52 lakh ha during 2020–2021, to 2.48 lakh ha in 2022, to 1.79 lakh ha in 2023, and further to 98,490 ha in 2024.The latest target of 1.29 lakh ha represents a deliberate scaling down in response to farmer disinterest, pest threats, and market uncertainties.Punjab boasted 8 lakh hectares under cotton cultivation during the 1980s.Experts trace the steady decline to the Green Revolution, which encouraged paddy cultivation in areas with canal water access, leaving only the saline-water-prone Malwa belt suitable for cotton.“Cotton was once white gold, but issues like whitefly and pink bollworm attacks, spurious seeds, and low MSP procurement by the Cotton Corporation of India have disillusioned farmers,” said Sukhjinder Singh Rajan, a Fazilka farmer.In 2015, a whitefly outbreak devastated 3.25 lakh hectares of cotton. A compensation of Rs 8,000 per acre was announced by the then SAD-BJP government.. A pink bollworm infestation in 2021 led to another round of farmer losses and a Rs 17,000 per acre relief package was announced by the then Congress government.read more:- Cabinet approves Minimum Support Prices (MSP) for Kharif Crops for Marketing Season 2025-26

Cabinet Clears MSP Hike for Kharif Crops for 2025-26 Season

Cabinet Approves Higher MSP for 14 Kharif Crops for 2025-26The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA), chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has approved an increase in the Minimum Support Prices (MSP) for 14 Kharif crops for the 2025-26 marketing season.The MSP hike aims to ensure remunerative prices for farmers. The highest increase has been announced for nigerseed (₹820 per quintal), followed by ragi (₹596), cotton (₹589), and sesamum (₹579 per quintal).The MSP is calculated based on comprehensive production costs, including expenses on labour (human and animal/machine), leased land rent, seeds, fertilizers, irrigation, fuel, depreciation on equipment, interest on working capital, and the imputed value of family labour.The revised MSP aligns with the Union Budget 2018-19 policy of fixing MSP at least 1.5 times the all-India weighted average cost of production. Farmers are expected to receive the highest margins in bajra (63%), followed by maize (59%), tur (59%), and urad (53%). For other crops, the margin is estimated at around 50%.In recent years, the government has focused on promoting pulses, oilseeds, and nutri-cereals (Shree Anna) by offering higher MSPs to encourage diversification beyond traditional cereals.Procurement data highlights a significant rise over the past decade. Between 2014-15 and 2024-25, paddy procurement stood at 7,608 lakh metric tonnes (LMT), compared to 4,590 LMT during 2004-05 to 2013-14. Similarly, procurement of 14 Kharif crops reached 7,871 LMT during 2014-15 to 2024-25, up from 4,679 LMT in the previous decade.The total MSP payments to paddy farmers during 2014-15 to 2024-25 amounted to ₹14.16 lakh crore, significantly higher than ₹4.44 lakh crore paid between 2004-05 and 2013-14. Overall, MSP payments for 14 Kharif crops rose to ₹16.35 lakh crore during the same period, compared to ₹4.75 lakh crore in the earlier decade.Read More :- Indian Rupee higher 25 Paisa, Ends at 85.36 per Dollar

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