Long-lasting Monsoon in India Endangers Ripe Crops
India's monsoon season is expected to extend into late September this year due to the formation of a low-pressure system mid-month, according to two weather department.
The extended monsoon and above-normal rainfall could jeopardize summer-sown crops such as rice, cotton, soybean, corn, and pulses, which are usually harvested around mid-September. This could lead to increased food inflation. However, the extended rains might also improve soil moisture, potentially benefiting the planting of winter crops like wheat, rapeseed, and chickpea.
A senior official from the India Meteorological Department, who requested anonymity, mentioned that there is a heightened chance of a low-pressure system emerging in the third week of September, which might delay the monsoon's retreat.
India, a major producer of wheat, sugar, and rice, has already implemented various export restrictions on these commodities. Any additional losses from excessive rainfall could lead the Indian government to extend these restrictions.
Typically, the monsoon season starts in June and begins to retreat from northwestern India by September 17, ending across the country by mid-October. The monsoon is crucial for India's $3.5-trillion economy, as it provides nearly 70% of the rainfall needed for agriculture and replenishes water sources. About half of India's farmland relies on this seasonal rain, which normally lasts from June to September.
September and October's rainfall could be influenced by developing La Nina conditions, which might cause a delayed monsoon withdrawal, according to another IMD official. Historical patterns suggest that La Nina during the latter part of the monsoon season can result in a prolonged monsoon period.
