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Cotton Gains Amid Rise In Overseas Prices, Aided By A Drop In Unsold Inventories

By 2024-01-29 11:28:55
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Cotton candy prices saw a modest uptick, closing 0.45% higher at 57500, buoyed by a surge in overseas prices supported by a drawdown in unsold inventories and a weakened U.S. dollar. The global cotton market witnessed adjustments in consumption forecasts for the 2023/24 season, with a reduction of 1.3 million bales due to lower estimates for India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkey. 

Brazil witnessed record-high cotton production in the 2022-23 season, driven by expanded cultivation and improved productivity. The infestation of pink bollworm in the Indian cotton crop has declined, dropping from 30.62% during 2017-18 to 10.80% in 2022-23. Reports suggest a reduction in pink bollworm infestation across cotton-growing areas in the north, central, and south zones of the country. In November, Brazilian cotton shipments increased by 12%, reaching 253.71 thousand tons compared to October 2023. However, it marked a 5.5% decrease compared to November 2022. Globally, the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC) projected that cotton production would likely outpace consumption for the second consecutive year.

Technically, the cotton candy market experienced short-covering, with open interest remaining unchanged at 176. Despite a price increase of 260 rupees, support is identified at 57020, with a potential test of 56550 if breached. On the upside, resistance is anticipated at 57780, and a breakthrough might propel prices to test 58070. source : investing.com

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