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Cotton Traders Weigh ‘Conflicting’ Signals for Price Outlook

*Cotton Traders Weigh ‘Conflicting’ Signals for Price Outlook**Cotton futures were little changed as traders weighed increased concern about demand against near-term tight supplies.**Stockpiles at depots monitored by ICE Futures U.S. in New York fell 4% to the lowest in more than a year amid delays for the American harvest. Last week, government data showed demand for domestic supplies has slowed following the futures rally to 10-year highs.**While bulls are betting China will continue to buy U.S. supplies in big volumes, the country had big cancellations to prior purchases. The weaker sales came as concern emerges the market has begun to lose share to polyester, Ollie Cleveland, a consultant and Mississippi State University economics professor emeritus, said in a Monday report.* *That’s “conflicting” with expected support from commercial traders, who have a very large unfixed sold position that has to be closed with buying of futures, he said.**The March contract at ICE traded at $1.1333 a pound in New York after earlier climbing as much as 1.1%.* *The price is up 45% this year, and last month hit the highest in a decade.* *The rally left prices on a level that’s very profitable for producers, said Kody Bessent, chief executive officer for Plains Cotton Growers Inc., the biggest grower group in the top-producing state of Texas.*   *Growers are “very excited” about prices and looking forward to next year’s harvest, he said.* *The cotton industry, like most sectors around the world, is dealing with shipping delays, high freight costs, surging fertilizer prices and shortages of things like equipment parts.**Growers also will have to weight those challenges against better prices for other crops. The break-even level for most state cotton farmers to cover costs is between 80-85 cents a pound, he said.* *In other soft commodities, arabica coffee for March delivery slid 1.9% to $2.0245 a pound on ICE for its third straight loss.*

sluggish business in cotton market

*pakistan cotton market update**sluggish business in cotton market**The local cotton market remained stagnant on Monday and trading volumes remained low.**The spot rate remained unchanged at Rs 15,900 per mind. Polyester fiber was available at Rs 247 per kg.**Cotton analyst Naseem Usman told that the rate of cotton in Sindh has been recorded in the range of Rs 12,500 to Rs 16,500 per mand and in Punjab the rate of cotton has been recorded between Rs 14,200 and Rs 16,500 per mind.**In Sindh, the price of new foot crop was between Rs 5000 and Rs 7,000 per 40 kg.* *Whereas in Punjab, the price of ftti was between Rs 5,800 and Rs 7,300 per 40 kg.**Similarly, the price of cotton in Balochistan remained at Rs 13,800 to Rs 16,200 per mand while the prices of footti were higher in comparison to Rs 6,200 to 79,00 per mand in the other two provinces, Naseem Usman said.**The price of Banola in Sindh was between Rs 1,350 and Rs 2,000 per mind. Whereas in Punjab the price of Banola was between Rs 1650 to Rs 2100 per mind.**600 bales of Lodharan sold for Rs 16200 per mind, 400 bales of Khanpur at Rs 16100 per mind and 200 bales of Fakir Wali sold at Rs 16000 per mind.**Naseem Usman said that despite the fall in the dollar value, cotton prices remained high.**The United States (USA) remained the top export destination for Pakistani products during the first three months of the current financial year (2021–22), followed by China and the United Kingdom (UK).*

*All India Weather Forecast for November 09, 2021*

*All India Weather Forecast for November 09, 2021**Countrywide weather systems*The Depression over East Central Arabian Sea is moving in a west-northwest direction and the associated cyclonic circulation is extending up to 5.8 km above mean sea level.A trough from the cyclonic circulation associated with the depression is extending up to Northeast Arabian Sea off South Gujarat coast.A Cyclonic Circulation lies over North Coastal Tamil Nadu and South Coast of Andhra Pradesh.A Cyclonic Circulation is persisting over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Andaman Sea. Under its influence, a low pressure area is expected to form over southeast Bay of Bengal by tomorrow, November 9. It will become more powerful and move ahead of Tamil Nadu.*Weather movement across the country during the last 24 hours*During the last 24 hours, light to moderate rain at isolated places occurred over parts of Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema, South Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.Moderate rainfall occurred at 1-2 places with isolated light rain over South Interior Karnataka, Lakshadweep and Kerala.Air pollution remained in very poor category in Delhi and NCR.*Possible weather activity during next 24 hours*During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with isolated heavy falls very likely over Tamil Nadu, parts of Rayalaseema, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.Light to moderate rain may occur over South Interior Karnataka, Kerala and Lakshadweep.

*All India Weather Forecast for November 08, 2021*

*All India Weather Forecast for November 08, 2021**Countrywide weather systems*An area of low pressure is persisting over East-central Arabian Sea. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 5.8 km above mean sea level. It is likely to intensify into a depression by this evening and will continue its motion in a northwesterly direction off the Indian coast.A trough is extending from the above cyclonic circulation up to Northeast Arabian Sea up to South Gujarat Coast.Another cyclonic circulation lies over West Central Bay of Bengal off South Andhra Pradesh and North Tamil Nadu coast.A cyclonic circulation lies over southeast Bay of Bengal. Due to its impact over the same area, a low pressure area is expected to develop, which will move in a northwest direction towards Tamil Nadu coast.*Weather movement across the country during the last 24 hours*During the last 24 hours, moderate to heavy rains occurred over South Coast of Andhra Pradesh and North Coastal Tamil Nadu.Light to moderate rain with isolated heavy falls occurred over remaining parts of Tamil Nadu.Light to moderate rain occurred over some parts of Kerala, South Interior Karnataka, Coastal Karnataka, Konkan and Goa and parts of Madhya Maharashtra.*Light rain fell in Lakshadweep.**Possible weather activity during next 24 hours*During the next 24 hours, heavy to very heavy rain is possible at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu Coast.Light to moderate rain with isolated heavy rain is likely over remaining parts of Tamil Nadu, South Interior Karnataka and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.Light to moderate rain is possible over Coastal Karnataka, parts of Kerala, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Lakshadweep.Moderate to strong winds blowing from Northeast direction can improve Delhi's pollution to some extent.

Cotton prices hit Rs 10,000, ride wave of low yield

*Cotton prices hit Rs 10,000, ride wave of low yield**Diwali has arrived a little earlier for cotton farmers as prices have touched Rs 10,000 per quintal against Rs 5,000 last year.*The farmers are jubilant over the rising prices as they are likely to fetch decent profits in the next two months.**Although unseasonal rains are worrying farmers in some places, a majority are relieved as they have sold their first pick of the yield during the current season.**Sources said prevailing prices are the highest in the recent past and are likely to go up in the next few weeks depending on quality of the stock. Market analysts said reports about low yields from the cotton producing states of Maharashtra, Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh due to heavy rains and cyclones are reported to have created demand for cotton from Andhra Pradesh and Telangana.**Traders initially offered around Rs 6,500 per quintal at the beginning of the season last month and slowly increased prices. With more players joining the trade, prices jumped to Rs 10,000 per quintal in select markets, including Adoni in Kurnool district.**Sources said* *the textile industry returning to full production levels after nearly two years is also a major reason for increased demand for cotton across the globe.**Interestingly, the Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) has not launched procurement* *operations by setting up purchase centres anywhere in the state due to heavy demand for stocks from traders.*

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