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USDA Projects Decline in India’s Cotton Acreage for MY 2025/26 Amid Crop Shifts

USDA Forecasts Drop in India’s 2025/26 Cotton AcreageThe U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS) forecasts India’s cotton acreage at 11.4 million hectares for the 2025/26 marketing year (MY), marking a 3% decline from the previous year. The reduction is attributed to farmers shifting toward more profitable crops, including pulses and oilseeds.Despite the smaller planted area, India’s cotton production is projected to reach 25 million 480-lb. bales, assuming a normal monsoon. The average yield is expected to rise to 477 kilograms per hectare—up 3% from the official MY 2024/25 estimate of 461 kilograms per hectare—due to increased cultivation in irrigated regions with reliable water access.However, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast above-normal maximum temperatures across much of the country—excluding southern regions—from March to May 2025. While cotton is relatively heat- and drought-tolerant, prolonged heatwaves and inadequate soil moisture could adversely affect yields.On the demand side, mill consumption remains strong, with projections at 25.7 million 480-lb. bales. Robust international demand for yarn and textiles is expected to sustain this level, suggesting continued reliance on imports to meet domestic consumption.On March 10, India’s Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare released its second advance estimate for MY 2024/25, lowering production to 23 million 480-lb. bales (equivalent to 29.4 million 170-kg bales or 5 million metric tons), a 2% drop from the prior forecast. Nevertheless, FAS maintains its MY 2024/25 projection at 25 million bales, based on 11.8 million hectares.FAS notes that rabi season sowing in southern India continues through December, and additional acreage data is anticipated at the close of the marketing year (October–September).Regional Planting TrendsNorth India:* Punjab’s cotton area remains stable.* Haryana sees a 5% decline as farmers pivot to paddy rice.* Rajasthan is expected to reduce cotton area by 2%, shifting to guar, maize, and mung beans; however, improved pest control may support yields.Central India:* Gujarat’s cotton area is projected to drop 3%, with growers favoring pulses, groundnut, cumin, and sesamum due to high input costs.* Maharashtra's area remains unchanged as farmers diversify away from soybean.* Madhya Pradesh expects a 5% decrease, driven by a move toward pulses and oilseeds.South India:* A 7% reduction is forecast across Telangana, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu, where government incentives for ethanol production are encouraging shifts to maize and rice.read more :-India's $100-bn textile export target hinges on MSME: Primus Partners

India's $100-bn textile export target hinges on MSME: Primus Partners

India’s Textile Export Target Rests on MSMEsIndia’s target to hit $100 billion in textile exports in five years revolves largely around how well the country can support and scale its micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), according to a new Primus Partners report, which says textile MSMEs form the backbone of the industry, but are held back now by fragmented value chains, high costs, skill shortages and limited global market access.India accounts for just 4.6 per cent of global textile exports, while China’s share is 48 per cent.Titled ‘Roadmap for $100 Billion Exports in 5 Years’, the consulting firm’s report asserts that unlocking MSME potential is key to narrowing this gap and placing India among global leaders in textile manufacturing.While geopolitical shifts offer an opportunity for Indian firms, textile MSMEs must evolve to exploit this, the report points out.Readymade garments and home textiles, which account for 75 per cent of India’s textile exports, are expected to benefit the most. The shift in sourcing patterns by global brands under the ‘China Plus One’ strategy makes India an increasingly attractive destination—if MSMEs can keep pace.MSMEs may be aggregated into formal clusters, like farmer producer organisations, enabling them to negotiate better pricing, adopt standardised practices and directly access global buyers, it recommends. These aggregations would also improve creditworthiness and streamline supply chain operations.However, a major constraint is skills. Only 15 per cent of workers in the textile manufacturing sector have received formal training, according to the National Skill Development Corporation. This contributes to a 20-30 per cent loss in productivity.Primus Partners suggests setting up dedicated training centres in tier-II and tier-III cities, especially where PM MITRA Parks are coming up, to bridge this gap.Finance remains another bottleneck. MSMEs often struggle to access affordable credit for modernising machinery or expanding operations. The report recommends expanding operational subsidies and employment-linked incentives to reduce input costs and boost competitiveness.Infrastructural inefficiencies, particularly in logistics, continue to inflate production costs. India’s logistics costs stand at 14 per cent of GDP, compared to the global benchmark of 8-10 per cent. The report urges faster development of integrated supply chain parks and better port connectivity to support textile MSMEs in becoming export-ready.Trade access is also essential. While competitors like Sri Lanka enjoy duty-free access to Europe under the Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP), Indian exporters face tariff disadvantages. The report calls for accelerated negotiations of free trade agreements with the European Union, the United Kingdom, and the United States to make Indian goods more price-competitive.The report also stresses on the need to integrate textile MSMEs into the growing technical textile segment, projected to reach $274 billion globally by 2027.read more :- Rupee Falls 7 Paise to 85.47 vs Dollar

Industrial production up by 1.9% in EU in March: Eurostat

EU Industrial Growth Hits 1.9% in MarchIn March 2025, compared with February 2025, seasonally adjusted industrial production increased by 1.9 per cent in the EU and 2.6 per cent in the euro area, according to first estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In February 2025, industrial production grew by 1.1 per cent in both the euro area and the EU.In the euro area, industrial production showed mixed results in March 2025 compared with February 2025. Production increased by 0.6 per cent for intermediate goods, 3.2 per cent for capital goods, 3.1 per cent for durable consumer goods, and 2.3 per cent for non-durable consumer goods. However, production of energy declined by 0.5 per cent, marking the only category with a decrease during the period.In the EU, industrial production in March 2025 compared with February 2025 showed overall growth across most categories. Production rose by 0.2 per cent for intermediate goods, 3.0 per cent for capital goods, 2.8 per cent for durable consumer goods, and 1.3 per cent for non-durable consumer goods. The only decline was seen in energy production, which dropped by 1.7 per cent during the same period, according to the report.The highest monthly increases were recorded in Ireland (+14.6 per cent), Malta (+4.4 per cent) and Finland (+3.5 per cent). The largest decreases were observed in Luxembourg (-6.3 per cent), Denmark and Greece (both -4.6 per cent) and Portugal (-4.0 per cent).On an annual basis, industrial production in both the euro area and the EU showed notable growth in March 2025 compared with March 2024, particularly in consumer goods. In the euro area, production increased by 15.7 per cent for non-durable consumer goods, 2.2 per cent for energy, 1.1 per cent for durable consumer goods, and 1.0 per cent for capital goods, while intermediate goods saw a slight decline of 0.2 per cent. Similarly, in the EU, production rose by 12.2 per cent for non-durable consumer goods, 1.3 per cent for durable consumer goods, 1.0 per cent for capital goods, and 0.8 per cent for energy, with intermediate goods also decreasing by 0.2 per cent.The highest annual increases were recorded in Ireland (+50.2 per cent), Malta (+10.1 per cent) and Lithuania (+7.8 per cent). The largest decreases were observed in Bulgaria (-8.3 per cent), Romania (-7.8 per cent) and Denmark (-5.7 per cent).read more:- Rupee Falls 7 Paise to 85.47 vs Dollar

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