Positive Outlook for Global Cotton Industry in 2024-25: ICAC Projections
The International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC) has released projections indicating a positive outlook for the global cotton industry in the 2024-25 season. Here are the key points highlighted in the report:
Increase in Cotton Production, Consumption, and Trade: The ICAC anticipates growth in cotton-producing area, production, consumption, and trade for the 2024-25 season. This is attributed to factors such as favorable weather conditions, which are crucial for driving cotton production upwards.
Weather Impact on Production Weather conditions have been identified as the primary factor influencing cotton production in recent years. Adverse weather led to a reduction in cotton area in the current season. However, the ICAC suggests that weather is expected to be more favorable in the upcoming season, contributing to increased production.
Yield Expectations Despite the projected increase in production, yields are expected to decrease slightly by 0.12% to 768 kg per hectare. This decline is attributed to various factors including extreme weather events caused by global climate change and pest pressures.
Projected Figures The ICAC projects a 3% increase in the cotton-producing area compared to the previous season, reaching 32.85 million hectares. Production is expected to rise by over 2.5% to 25.22 million tonnes, while consumption is forecasted to increase by 2.9% to 25.37 million tonnes. Global cotton trade, including imports and exports, is expected to grow by nearly 4% to 9.94 million tonnes.
Price Forecast The ICAC's price forecast for the season-average A-index for 2023-24 ranges from 85.67 cents to 100.62 cents, with a midpoint of 92.20 cents per pound. This provides an insight into the expected price range for cotton during the upcoming season.
Overall, the ICAC's projections indicate positive growth prospects for the global cotton industry in the 2024-25 season, driven by factors such as favorable weather conditions and anticipated increases in production, consumption, and trade. However, the report also acknowledges ongoing challenges such as climate change and pest pressures that continue to impact cotton production worldwide.
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